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Although the subsequent retracement took 70% of it back with the 46 low that occurred in December 2015, bears have been challenged ever since to win the skirmishes that prefigure changes in the long-term trend.
By my analysis, gold ‘should have’ fallen to 1 at its correction low.
Simply put, for almost seven decades, there have been two very distinct seasonal periods – one good and one awful.
Going back to 1950, ,000 invested in the Dow Industrials for only the periods from the end of October through the end of April would now be worth 5,511.77.
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This stark comparison led to the old adage, ‘sell in May and go away,’ and for the most part, this has functioned as sage advice.” This has been a very significant correction so far, for sure, but it looks like it has farther to go — presumably into the high s or low s.
The news cycle regarding crude prices has become more expansive, suggesting that although the Saudis still control supply at the margin, they are in no rush to run up prices and tax the world anew.
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It could still get there, and that target will remain valid in any event until such time as 1432.50 is exceeded to the upside.